Simple Eco-system Simulation

1. Logistic curve

Eco-systems show the complicate action such as cycling phenomena.

Plant growing or the increase of human population is shown by a logistic curve, which increase slightly at first and steeply at middle and gradually at last.

@y = k / { 1 + m * e ^ (-ct)} Eq. 1

Where, k, m, c are constants, and equation 1 satisfies next differential equation.

Constant k corresponds to final value of y.

dy / dt = c * y ( 1 - y / k ) Eq. 2

See logistic.xls

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2. Cycling phenomena of Weed and Grasshopper

Relationship of weed and grasshopper is a typical cycling phenomenon, and will be expressed as following equations.

dX / dt = ( k1 - a * Y) * X Eq. 3

dY / dt = ( b * X - k2) * Y Eq. 4

Where,

Symbol

Term

k1

Increase rate of weed

a

Fed rate of weed

k2

Death rate of grasshopper

b

Born rate of grasshopper

X0

Initial weed

Y0

Initial grasshopper

N

Period

If there is no grasshopper, then equation 3 will be dX / dt = k1 * X, that is, X = e ^ (k1 * t), therefore weed will increase as like exponential function. But the breeding of grasshopper make weed fed and weed will decrease.

Finally the relationship of weed and grasshopper shows a cyclic phenomenon.

There are so-called pig cycle in breeding market of pig like as above phenomenon.

See weed-g-E.xls weed-g E


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2004/6/6